Staying curious and inquisitive is at the forefront of our research philosophy
We seek out the answers to questions that have not yet been fully investigated. By probing the status quo to examine all inputs of information, we formulate ideas and give in-depth macroeconomic analysis. This is augmented by rigorous quantitative tools on key economic and policy issues affecting the world.
Diverse specialists collaborate for unique perspectives
We are an open-minded and international thought centre, exchanging views in an informal and relaxed setting. We specialise in emerging markets, and more specifically, the fixed income and currency aspects across a variety of markets.
Our Investments, Advisory & Research team has built up a strong communication ethic. Focusing on the ‘cross sectional’ aspects of the global economy and adopting a non traditional analysis and pure ‘trading’ mindset ensures ideas are picked apart, contributed to, and questioned.
The resulting research, thought leadership and commentary is direct from our main risk takers. Through their weekly notes, our portfolio managers share their top-down views on major global economic and policy issues and zoom in on different topics as they become relevant to markets.
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Published Research Examples
The Fed’s Record on Inflation Control: Not Great
How should the Fed’s performance be judged? In their latest note, Stephen Jen and Joana Freire argue that inflation control offers a clear benchmark
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My thoughts on currencies, September 2025
The latest edition of My Thoughts on Currencies covers the US soft landing debate, the Fed’s pivot from hawk to dove, and the Trump Administration’s preference for
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Fiscal Dominance and the End of Central Bank Hyper-Power
In his latest client note, Stephen Jen warns that 2025 marks a turning point: fiscal dominance is beginning to erode the power and influence of central banks.
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The UK is Likely Moving to the Bad Side of the Laffer Curve
The UK is Likely Moving to the Bad Side of the Laffer Curve: The UK is in a fiscal bind; we are worried: the 30-year gilts yield reached the highest level since the late-1990s
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Section 899: Don’t Take It Too Seriously
We believe analysts may be taking Section 899 too seriously. (1) The proposed Section 899 will most likely not be enacted: it is meant…
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Why is Resurrecting Manufacturing Important for the US?
Besides bolstering national security, (1) manufacturing has a multiplier factor of around three, i.e., the overall impact of manufacturing…
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China: Cut-throat Price War in EVs
When Chinese companies focus on a challenge, they run as fast as possible and turn the dial-up to11….
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Trump plans to impose 50% tariff on EU imports from next month
Trump plans to impose 50% tariff on EU imports from next month: Stephen Jen warns that the trade war is widening…
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My thoughts on currencies, May 2025
My Thoughts on Currencies: Policy-wise in the US, 2025 has so far been a year of the ‘twin deficits’…
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Washington deserved a downgrade
Washington deserved a downgrade: Following Moody’s decision to strip the US of its final AAA sovereign rating…
Read More“We don’t follow a research agenda, we believe an ‘always on’ writing and thinking culture is the right way to identify the big ideas that need to be explored”
Stephen Jen
CEO & Co-CIO
Eurizon SLJ Capital
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