Staying curious and inquisitive is at the forefront of our research philosophy
We seek out the answers to questions that have not yet been fully investigated. By probing the status quo to examine all inputs of information, we formulate ideas and give in-depth macroeconomic analysis. This is augmented by rigorous quantitative tools on key economic and policy issues affecting the world.
Diverse specialists collaborate for unique perspectives
We are an open-minded and international thought centre, exchanging views in an informal and relaxed setting. We specialise in emerging markets, and more specifically, the fixed income and currency aspects across a variety of markets.
Our Investments, Advisory & Research team has built up a strong communication ethic. Focusing on the ‘cross sectional’ aspects of the global economy and adopting a non traditional analysis and pure ‘trading’ mindset ensures ideas are picked apart, contributed to, and questioned.
The resulting research, thought leadership and commentary is direct from our main risk takers. Through their weekly notes, our portfolio managers share their top-down views on major global economic and policy issues and zoom in on different topics as they become relevant to markets.
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Published Research Examples
The Ferguson Law and the US’ Fight for a Small Government
The Trump Administration has been fighting to alter the trajectories of the US’ twin deficits…
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Another Avalanche Warning on the Asian Currencies
The Taiwan dollar (TWD) appreciated by 7.5 percent against the dollar over the first days of May, purportedly triggered…
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Made in the USA 2035
The economic rivalry between the US and China is intense partly because it is as much a technology war as a trade war.
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WSJ: Xi is ratcheting up China’s pain threshold for a long fight with Trump
In this follow-up note on the evolving US-China trade conflict, Stephen Jen provides a…
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My thoughts on currencies
The future trajectory of the Trade War remains highly uncertain, with too many permutations for us to plan for…
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FT: Is the world losing faith in the almighty US dollar?
Amid the market’s abrupt turn away from the “American Exceptionalism” narrative, Stephen Jen delivers a sharp and timely perspective on the dollar’s path.
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The Risks of Export Dumping by China
As tensions between Washington and Beijing escalate, Stephen Jen and Joana Freire explore a powerful second-order consequence: the redirection of Chinese
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The Long-Awaited Dollar Correction Finally Commencing
We ceased to be dollar-positive some two years ago and stressed our bearish view on the dollar throughout H2 2024.
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China’s Local Government Debt
What is the role played by the local governments in China’s property eco-system, and how should investors think about the risks posed by China’s local governments as the property market weakens?
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High US Yields Not Likely Reflecting Sticky Inflation
In this note, we focus on the period in the mid-1970s between the two oil price and US inflation spikes.
Read More“We don’t follow a research agenda, we believe an ‘always on’ writing and thinking culture is the right way to identify the big ideas that need to be explored”
Stephen Jen
CEO & Co-CIO
Eurizon SLJ Capital
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