Staying curious and inquisitive is at the forefront of our research philosophy
We seek out the answers to questions that have not yet been fully investigated. By probing the status quo to examine all inputs of information, we formulate ideas and give in-depth macroeconomic analysis. This is augmented by rigorous quantitative tools on key economic and policy issues affecting the world.
Diverse specialists collaborate for unique perspectives
We are an open-minded and international thought centre, exchanging views in an informal and relaxed setting. We specialise in emerging markets, and more specifically, the fixed income and currency aspects across a variety of markets.
Our Investments, Advisory & Research team has built up a strong communication ethic. Focusing on the ‘cross sectional’ aspects of the global economy and adopting a non traditional analysis and pure ‘trading’ mindset ensures ideas are picked apart, contributed to, and questioned.
The resulting research, thought leadership and commentary is direct from our main risk takers. Through their weekly notes, our portfolio managers share their top-down views on major global economic and policy issues and zoom in on different topics as they become relevant to markets.
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Published Research Examples
The Long-Awaited Dollar Correction Finally Commencing
We ceased to be dollar-positive some two years ago and stressed our bearish view on the dollar throughout H2 2024.
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A Strong Core Europe = Higher Centrifugal Force
Europe’s cyclical outlook is finally brightening, driven by a decisive fiscal pivot, especially in Germany.
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China’s Local Government Debt
What is the role played by the local governments in China’s property eco-system, and how should investors think about the risks posed by China’s local governments as the property market weakens?
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High US Yields Not Likely Reflecting Sticky Inflation
In this note, we focus on the period in the mid-1970s between the two oil price and US inflation spikes.
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An Update on the China Property Sector
China’s property sector is big, but not overwhelmingly big, compared to the cycle that Japan had in the late-1980s…
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Shelter Inflation Elevated Due in Part to the Fed
US headline inflation has fallen as sharply as it had risen, but core inflation has been stubbornly sticky on the downside for the past six months
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The Problem is Debt, Not the Debt Ceiling
The looming risk of the debt ceiling triggering a default by the US is the urgent matter concerning investors.
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Europe to Stay on the Fence on China
The structural competition between the US and China could intensify further.
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China and the De Facto Asian Economic Union
The global economy is approaching a major watershed: for the first time in modern history, the three economic blocs – the US, Europe, and Asia…
Read More“We don’t follow a research agenda, we believe an ‘always on’ writing and thinking culture is the right way to identify the big ideas that need to be explored”
Stephen Jen
CEO & Co-CIO
Eurizon SLJ Capital
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